Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmSilentShark
Record (consensus markets)52% (6551–6119, n=12670)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)60% (135–90, n=225)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$3.6M$26K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #47PM monthly #841
Sides with the consensus68% (264 of 387 open)no open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)33% (2 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677primmSilentShark
Spread: Woking FC (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Forest Green Rovers FC
Forest Green Rovers FC $2.1K——Woking FC $690
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $613——Under $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $272——Yes $9