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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677primmRayGuy
Record (consensus markets)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1106–1119, n=2225)89% (33–4, n=37)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$5.3M$3.6M$7.2K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #46PM monthly #671
Sides with the consensus73% (182 of 251 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position72% (350 of 486 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 34 at avg 77¢, ROI +19%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)6% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)85% (won 100% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.