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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677petanimal
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)37% (723–1216, n=1939)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$118K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2was PM monthly #283
Sides with the consensus68% (167 of 247 open)no open consensus position97% (35 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Elections ±0 pts, n=801
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%8% of 1912 at avg 7¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)95% (won 4% of 1811)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)2% (won 40% of 30)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)2% (won 73% of 41)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)2% (won 87% of 30)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.