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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1TheWindKnowsmyName
Record (consensus markets)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)67% (182–89, n=271)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$5.3M$3.6M-$102K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #92was PM monthly #953
Sides with the consensus77% (105 of 137 open)no open consensus position73% (54 of 74 open)51% (124 of 241 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%90% of 186 at avg 69¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)12% (won 36% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)14% (won 92% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)12% (won 96% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)62% (won 99% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1TheWindKnowsmyName
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $335KYes $813
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $62KNo $55