Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1RayGuy
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)64% (1097–630, n=1727)76% (25–8, n=33)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$5.3M$4.8M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #2PM monthly #97PM monthly #609
Sides with the consensus65% (128 of 197 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (112 of 154 open)75% (488 of 650 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 33 at avg 77¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)3% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)88% (won 100% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1RayGuy
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14K—No $7.4K—
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $173No $372
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $19K—No $18K—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $28—No $115—