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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677KnightDasCapitalprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (5370–5308, n=10678)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$101K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus68% (239 of 353 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (12 of 17 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—Soccer −1 pts, n=5995—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%51% of 7218 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)17% (won 18% of 1234)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)29% (won 41% of 2116)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)30% (won 58% of 2151)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)24% (won 80% of 1717)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677KnightDasCapitalprimm
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
Middle Tennessee $1.2K——Middle Tennessee $4.9K