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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Matheobong | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6585–6162, n=12747) | no settled market | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 49% (1129–1155, n=2284) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.7M | — | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #264 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #49 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (195 of 280 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (56 of 79 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 83% of 6 at avg 50¢, ROI +36% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 0% | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 50% (won 100% of 3) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 50% (won 67% of 3) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 0% | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Matheobong | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $4 | — | Under $30K | — |