Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpMD14Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlTsamam
Record (consensus markets)71% (2619–1078, n=3697)81% (22–5, n=27)58% (11–8, n=19)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL$482K$328K$769K$4.9K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #116was PM monthly #70PM monthly #980
Sides with the consensus54% (134 of 248 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
not computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)4% (won 0% of 1)8% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)13% (won 100% of 3)58% (won 100% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)21% (won 80% of 5)33% (won 100% of 4)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)63% (won 100% of 15)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpMD14Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlTsamam
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 257.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $510Under $41K——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
same side · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $15KCavaliers $1.2K——