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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHawk.liveprimm
Record (consensus markets)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)55% (296–240, n=536)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$27K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #612PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus70% (238 of 339 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (14 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Esports ±0 pts, n=518—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%56% of 524 at avg 56¢, ROI −3%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)23% (won 4% of 122)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)15% (won 27% of 78)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)25% (won 68% of 130)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)37% (won 92% of 194)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHawk.liveprimm
South Florida vs. East Carolina
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
East Carolina $62—South Florida $31