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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| FakeMadrid | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (929–646, n=1575) | 43% (11761–15331, n=27092) | 55% (13298–10666, n=23964) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.2M | -$9.4M | $1.4M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #110 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 60% (6 of 10 open) | 70% (94 of 134 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −5 pts, n=43 | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1496 at avg 57¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 9% (won 16% of 132) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 13% (won 14% of 196) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 47% of 428) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 18% (won 40% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 62% of 526) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 23% (won 58% of 348) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 85% of 410) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 46% (won 94% of 710) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | FakeMadrid | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev same side · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | Adrian Andreev $14K | Adrian Andreev $2.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Ugo Humbert same side · consensus Ugo Humbert | — | Ugo Humbert $7.1K | Ugo Humbert $591 | — |