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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ethanael02ferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (123–63, n=186)43% (11779–15353, n=27132)48% (19699–21461, n=41160)
Consensus PnL$28K-$9.5M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #437was PM monthly #87PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)56% (5 of 9 open)51% (21 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +23 pts n=38, ROI +26%
  • NBA +27 pts n=15, ROI +22%
  • Soccer +20 pts n=36, ROI +12%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won94% of 101 at avg 74¢, ROI +20%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 86% of 7)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 91% of 35)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 97% of 59)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEthanael02ferrariChampions2026RN1
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0KBilly Harris $6.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.8K
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Cavaliers $1.5KCavaliers $708
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360