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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
End123Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)65% (268–144, n=412)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL-$31K$3.3M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #779PM monthly #21PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)61% (203 of 331 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −18 pts, n=18Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won63% of 410 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 11% of 56)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 40% of 42)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 62% of 128)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up45% (won 86% of 184)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.