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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Dor88 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (18–25, n=43) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | -$30K | $3.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #669 | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 56% (10 of 18 open) | 59% (46 of 78 open) |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −5 pts, n=27 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 44 at avg 49¢, ROI −4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 59% (won 46% of 26) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 50% of 18) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Dor88 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Ravens $26K | Jaguars $19K |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $12K | Over $10K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $9.7K | Jaguars $7.1K |
| Spread: UTSA (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $2.4K | UTSA $302 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $670 | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: James Madison (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | — | James Madison $1.4K | Southern Miss $268 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $560 | Jaguars $174 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic same side · consensus Florida Atlantic | — | — | Florida Atlantic $41K | Florida Atlantic $21K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-16.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Ravens $230 | Ravens $1.8K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-13.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Ravens $1.1K | Ravens $654 |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss same side · consensus James Madison | — | — | Southern Miss $32 | Southern Miss $239 |