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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Devilswithjoystick | YYYYY999 | RN1 | 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 49% (2585–2638, n=5223) | 49% (7263–7633, n=14896) | 92% (298–25, n=323) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $167K | $13.4M | $4.8K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #991 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | Hand-picked | PM monthly #491 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 56% (15 of 27 open) | 58% (95 of 165 open) | 36% (4 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | Tennis −1 pts, n=386 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 51% of 4315 at avg 49¢, ROI 0% | 93% of 19633 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 92% of 79 at avg 53¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 14% (won 22% of 597) | 10% (won 52% of 2020) | 8% (won 67% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 43% (won 45% of 1867) | 22% (won 93% of 4355) | 16% (won 92% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 29% (won 59% of 1253) | 37% (won 99% of 7260) | 73% (won 95% of 58) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 14% (won 79% of 598) | 31% (won 100% of 5998) | 3% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Devilswithjoystick | YYYYY999 | RN1 | 0x3d5a9e66f15e6719927972135501c61efc53a0be |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pacers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Nets $64K | Pacers $6 | — |
| Spread: Pacers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Nets $8.3K | Pacers $272 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | — | Lakers $7.5K | Jazz $227 | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $2.6K | Under $48 |
| Dolphins vs. Jets: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $105 | Under $38 |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | — | Giants $28 | Texans $92 |
| Spread: Bengals (-1.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bengals $515 | Bengals $45 |
| Spread: Jets (-4.5) same side · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $1 | Jets $46 |