PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DOG-UndressedVersiondsasdaasRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)84% (900–173, n=1073)67% (223–110, n=333)48% (12121–12955, n=25076)45% (484–601, n=1085)
Consensus PnL$14K$244K$13.4M$9.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #190PM monthly #121Hand-pickedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 5 open)no open consensus position49% (20 of 41 open)75% (27 of 36 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=112, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=63, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=275, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=10———
Settled positions, side won77% of 597 at avg 75¢, ROI +1%100% of 183 at avg 62¢, ROI +30%94% of 23702 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 494 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 9% of 89)3% (won 100% of 5)10% (won 56% of 2452)11% (won 87% of 52)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 40% of 30)19% (won 100% of 34)22% (won 94% of 5319)34% (won 98% of 169)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 63% of 48)46% (won 100% of 85)36% (won 99% of 8623)34% (won 99% of 170)
Entries 70¢ and up72% (won 95% of 430)32% (won 100% of 59)31% (won 100% of 7308)21% (won 100% of 103)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDOG-UndressedVersiondsasdaasRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Warriors $1.2KNuggets $317K