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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Contestable-Parfait | lineth | qiu3 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (30–19, n=49) | 49% (215–220, n=435) | 89% (8–1, n=9) | 49% (9610–10110, n=19720) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.3K | $91K | $32K | $13.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #236 | PM monthly #832 | was PM monthly #573 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (78 of 107 open) | 44% (11 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (19 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 14 at avg 64¢, ROI −13% | 63% of 429 at avg 46¢, ROI +17% | 98% of 43 at avg 57¢, ROI +37% | 93% of 20810 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 0% of 4) | 41% (won 29% of 177) | 5% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 53% of 2181) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 100% of 2) | 14% (won 72% of 58) | 26% (won 91% of 11) | 22% (won 94% of 4645) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 16% (won 84% of 67) | 56% (won 100% of 24) | 37% (won 99% of 7657) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 57% (won 100% of 8) | 30% (won 94% of 127) | 14% (won 100% of 6) | 30% (won 100% of 6327) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contestable-Parfait | lineth | qiu3 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $24K | No $429 | — | — |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $671 | No $504 | — | — |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $965 | Yes $47 | — | — |