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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Brokie | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (394–361, n=755) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 51% (28105–27112, n=55217) |
| Consensus PnL | $297K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #841 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (35 of 50 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (108 of 150 open) | 64% (44 of 69 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −11 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 565 at avg 54¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 33% (won 12% of 185) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 55% of 64) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 76% of 78) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 95% of 238) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Brokie | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $24K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $10K | — | Yes $1.9K | — |