← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 40% (67–102, n=169) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $4.4M | $206K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #193 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (157 of 189 open) | no open consensus position | 54% (7 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −24 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 0% | 19% (won 16% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 27% (won 43% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 31% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 24% (won 73% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $125 | — | Yes $79K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $33K | — | No $3 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $185K | — | Yes $233K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $89K | — | Yes $9.3K |