Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	00gringo00	BreakTheBank	sainttroplay	UnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)	75% (6–2, n=8)	45% (547–663, n=1210)	71% (10–4, n=14)	40% (67–102, n=169)
Consensus PnL	$3.5M	$11.0M	$4.4M	$239K
Tracked as	was PM monthly #19	PM monthly #1	was PM monthly #11	PM monthly #205
Sides with the consensus	no open consensus position	68% (77 of 114 open)	no open consensus position	67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics	none with 10+ settled	NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50% NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47% Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%	Soccer +51 pts n=10, ROI +52%	Soccer +19 pts n=24, ROI −2% NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topic	—	—	—	NBA −24 pts, n=13
Settled positions, side won	86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%	97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%	100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%	50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢	0%	10% (won 81% of 57)	0%	19% (won 16% of 32)
Entries 30–50¢	0%	36% (won 98% of 201)	50% (won 100% of 5)	27% (won 43% of 46)
Entries 50–70¢	100% (won 86% of 7)	35% (won 99% of 196)	50% (won 100% of 5)	31% (won 60% of 52)
Entries 70¢ and up	0%	19% (won 100% of 109)	0%	24% (won 73% of 40)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	00gringo00	BreakTheBank	sainttroplay	UnderperformingForALiving
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes	—	No $157	—	Yes $67K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes	—	No $242K	—	No $2