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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 40% (67–102, n=169) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $5.6M | $4.4M | $239K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | — | PM monthly #141 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (43 of 65 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −24 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 50% of 170 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% | 19% (won 16% of 32) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 27% (won 43% of 46) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 31% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 0% | 24% (won 73% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | sainttroplay | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $12 | — | — | Yes $4 |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus No | No $1.9M | — | — | No $2 |