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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanksainttroplayRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)45% (501–606, n=1107)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)63% (375–222, n=597)
Consensus PnL$12.1M$4.4M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #11Hand-pickedPM monthly #126
Sides with the consensus73% (24 of 33 open)no open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)0%10% (won 56% of 2460)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 181)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5335)55% (won 99% of 209)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 99% of 176)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8653)34% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 105)0%31% (won 100% of 7361)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanksainttroplayRN1CORGII
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus MOUZ
——MOUZ $39KMOUZ $12K