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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1yaokan
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)94% (130–9, n=139)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.5M$14.8M$19K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #990
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)no open consensus position65% (136 of 208 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%99% of 168 at avg 98¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)100% (won 99% of 168)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1yaokan
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—No $30K—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $642K—No $6.5K—