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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1wesolyjasiu
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)99% (1864–12, n=1876)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.6M$14.8M$5.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #51PM monthly #26 + pinnedPM monthly #640
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)0% (0 of 1 open)62% (188 of 304 open)88% (7 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 1432 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)0% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)0% (won 40% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)99% (won 100% of 1422)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1wesolyjasiu
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $64K—Yes $31K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—No $148—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: Como 1907 O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $99Over $2.1K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2Over $374
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651K—No $6.5K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.2K—No $1.9K—
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $3.0KOver $1.6K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KOver $335
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $56Over $637