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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | pelik | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 99% (4262–15, n=4277) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $79K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #391 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (72 of 113 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 60% (33 of 55 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 3061 at avg 100¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 0% (won 50% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 0% (won 100% of 3) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 100% (won 100% of 3056) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | pelik | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bratislava 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | — | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $640 | Shintaro Mochizuki $20 |