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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | otsosiusa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 44% (4–5, n=9) | 47% (14240–15745, n=29985) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $226K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #195 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (24 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (68 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 4 at avg 55¢, ROI +47% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 25% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 75% (won 100% of 3) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | otsosiusa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $367 | — | Timberwolves $940 |