← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | randomrandomrandom | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | no settled market | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.6M | — | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #974 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 57% (27 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | — | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | — | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | — | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | randomrandomrandom | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | — | — | Over $10K |
| Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $291 | No $578 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $421K | No $346K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $96 | — | — | Bears $877 |