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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | smoltrader | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 43% (905–1186, n=2091) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $4.8M | $3.6M | $38K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #52 | was PM monthly #368 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (11 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | Crypto −9 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 45% of 1470 at avg 45¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 48% (won 5% of 710) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 6% (won 32% of 91) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 7% (won 66% of 106) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 38% (won 93% of 563) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | smoltrader |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — | — |