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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | TheMathGod | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 63% (114–68, n=182) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.6M | $3.6M | -$42K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #875 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (28 of 35 open) | 72% (53 of 74 open) | 53% (10 of 19 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | MLB −11 pts, n=64 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 2% (won 33% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 8% (won 47% of 15) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 59% (won 53% of 105) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 31% (won 86% of 56) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | TheMathGod |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.3K | — | Ravens $560 | — |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $821 | — | Over $33 | — |