← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | peasant | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | 50% (15059–15076, n=30135) | 62% (144–89, n=233) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | $3.0M | $138K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #145 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #524 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 56% (101 of 179 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | Politics −6 pts, n=50 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 58% of 250 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 22% (won 11% of 54) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 17% (won 38% of 42) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 21% (won 60% of 52) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 41% (won 90% of 102) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | peasant |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $15K | — | Yes $2.1K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | Yes $149 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $22K | — | Yes $117 | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $16K | — | Yes $1.6K | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | Yes $215 | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | Yes $69 | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $59 | — |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | Yes $41 | — |