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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | Vanchalkenstein | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (20622–20404, n=41026) | 53% (285–250, n=535) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $4.8M | $3.1M | -$1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #586 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 68% (54 of 79 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | NBA −2 pts, n=128 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 54% of 590 at avg 49¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) | 10% (won 24% of 58) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) | 47% (won 51% of 276) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) | 33% (won 59% of 192) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) | 11% (won 77% of 64) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | Vanchalkenstein |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |