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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 53% (25–22, n=47) | 50% (26154–25785, n=51939) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.6M | -$2.4M | $1.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #113 | was PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (42 of 59 open) | 72% (71 of 98 open) | no open consensus position | 66% (39 of 59 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 25 at avg 61¢, ROI +38% | 100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 0% | 7% (won 99% of 3291) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 24% (won 100% of 6) | 18% (won 100% of 9212) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 40% (won 100% of 10) | 20% (won 100% of 9904) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 36% (won 100% of 9) | 56% (won 100% of 27970) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $421K | No $346K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — | — |