Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1RanaAmariPredictsRememberAmalek
Record (consensus markets)97% (524–18, n=542)58% (419–300, n=719)no settled market74% (470–167, n=637)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$4.7M—$1.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #157PM monthly #908PM monthly #153
Sides with the consensus82% (36 of 44 open)70% (57 of 81 open)no open consensus position54% (81 of 149 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=71—Crypto −1 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%—61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)19% (won 10% of 96)—37% (won 10% of 193)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)21% (won 35% of 105)—13% (won 67% of 66)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)27% (won 54% of 132)—14% (won 88% of 74)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)33% (won 91% of 163)—37% (won 99% of 192)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1RanaAmariPredictsRememberAmalek
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $31K——Yes $75K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $425KNo $350K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306KYes $12K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K——Yes $265