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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1RN1zimmer888
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)100% (6–0, n=6)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$4.2M$14.8M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #149PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #759
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)74% (34 of 46 open)62% (104 of 167 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 4 at avg 2¢, ROI +86%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)100% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)0%
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1RN1zimmer888
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—No $146—