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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1RN1VEQT
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)88% (44–6, n=50)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$4.2M$14.8M$122K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #140PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #469
Sides with the consensus59% (13 of 22 open)73% (33 of 45 open)61% (97 of 159 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%91% of 47 at avg 91¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)0%
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)2% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)98% (won 93% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1RN1VEQT
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—No $148—
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $651K—No $6.5K—