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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | lava-lava | ndb1 | Sassy-Bucket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 97% (441–15, n=456) | 53% (149–134, n=283) | 57% (293–219, n=512) | 33% (1–2, n=3) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $1.1M | $4.6M | -$5.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #158 | PM monthly #524 |
| Sides with the consensus | 80% (39 of 49 open) | 63% (39 of 62 open) | 72% (65 of 90 open) | 14% (1 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | lava-lava | ndb1 | Sassy-Bucket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $354K | — | — | Raptors $231K |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $41K | Yes $9.8K | — | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | — | No $350K | — |
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | Bills $514K | — | — | Bills $193K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K | — |
| Pacers vs. Mavericks same side · consensus Mavericks | Pacers $2.9K | — | — | Pacers $54K |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $49 | Yes $351 | — | — |