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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | l3t0 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 54% (33–28, n=61) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 50% (19440–19510, n=38950) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $43K | $4.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #673 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 58% (48 of 83 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 52% of 88 at avg 48¢, ROI +11% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 28% (won 28% of 25) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 25% (won 36% of 22) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 25% (won 64% of 22) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 22% (won 89% of 19) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | l3t0 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | Yes $2.6K | — | — |