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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | twe2nty | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 50% (1105–1117, n=2222) | 74% (191–68, n=259) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $3.6M | -$18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #46 | was PM monthly #956 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (25 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 79% (26 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=118 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 71% of 246 at avg 72¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 21% (won 4% of 52) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 5% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 4% (won 60% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 70% (won 96% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | primm | twe2nty |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $72K | — | — | Yes $11K |