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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | nehcnehc | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 61% (4050–2630, n=6680) | 50% (15330–15412, n=30742) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $5.3M | -$840K | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #702 | PM monthly #60 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (15 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 45% (49 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −7 pts, n=125 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 20% of 92) | 8% (won 60% of 874) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 25% (won 44% of 2260) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 40% (won 55% of 3534) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 34% (won 87% of 3004) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | nehcnehc | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.0K | — | — | Yes $149 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | — | — | Yes $117 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | — | — | Yes $215 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $3.8K | Yes $2.3K |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $3.3K | Yes $1.3K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.6K | — | — | Yes $64 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $59 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $28 | — | — | Yes $41 |