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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | skadii | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (875–459, n=1334) | 47% (170–192, n=362) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $5.6M | $4.1M | -$45K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #496 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (75 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (30 of 42 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 47% of 350 at avg 46¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 27% (won 15% of 95) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 31% (won 42% of 109) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 25% (won 65% of 89) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 16% (won 79% of 57) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.