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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Pondermint | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 67% (425–206, n=631) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $173K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #394 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (27 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | MLB −2 pts, n=87 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 485 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 11% of 63) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 35% of 52) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 12% (won 63% of 56) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 65% (won 90% of 314) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Pondermint | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $75K | — | Yes $2.3K | — |