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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Kaczka | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 52% (417–383, n=800) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $5.6M | $17K | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #26 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (81 of 111 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 74% (26 of 35 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 85% of 531 at avg 56¢, ROI +23% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 68% of 25) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 73% of 117) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 62% (won 89% of 329) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 11% (won 92% of 60) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.