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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankifyouloveme
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)54% (266–231, n=497)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #334
Sides with the consensus83% (157 of 189 open)71% (79 of 112 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tech +11 pts n=90, ROI +9%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
  • Politics +7 pts n=26, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=82
Settled positions, side won97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%50% of 455 at avg 47¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 79% of 58)38% (won 15% of 175)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 200)16% (won 52% of 71)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 194)16% (won 58% of 73)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 107)30% (won 90% of 136)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankifyouloveme
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $224KYes $18K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $239KYes $268
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $77KNo $2.7K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $31KYes $6.8K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $35KNo $79
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $33KNo $1.5K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $27KYes $447
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $22KYes $800
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $125Yes $1.0K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $185KYes $4.4K
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $89KYes $108
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $4.1K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $46KYes $50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.3KYes $3.2K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $632No $3.5K