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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankifyouloveme
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)55% (311–258, n=569)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$30K
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #609
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)67% (22 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tech +12 pts n=91, ROI +9%
  • Politics +8 pts n=32, ROI +3%
  • NFL +3 pts n=46, ROI −1%
Weakest topic—Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=86
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)38% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 51% of 77)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 59% of 79)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)31% (won 91% of 152)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankifyouloveme
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $63KYes $1.5K