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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | hortikkk | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (58–47, n=105) | 67% (6–3, n=9) | 53% (529–468, n=997) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $381K | $526 | $636K | $475K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #883 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #59 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 50% (20 of 40 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | — | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 12% (won 44% of 90) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 25) | — | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 30) | — | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | — | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | hortikkk | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Patriots $6.0K | Lions $36K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $2.4K | Vikings $8.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $1.3K | Titans $5.9K |