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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | googleplay | quiet-ferret | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 33% (2–4, n=6) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 41% (12–17, n=29) |
| Consensus PnL | $779K | $320K | $1.5K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #977 | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (5 of 15 open) | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 83% of 12 at avg 73¢, ROI +2% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 0% | 25% (won 33% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 0% | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 0% | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 75% (won 100% of 9) | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | googleplay | quiet-ferret | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Trail Blazers $2.9K | Trail Blazers $52K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) same side · consensus Magic | Kings $53 | Kings $47K | — | — |