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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)64% (1101–632, n=1733)50% (3699–3693, n=7392)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$4.6M-$1.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #231 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)70% (7 of 10 open)73% (75 of 103 open)71% (5 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147MLB −5 pts, n=137
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%51% of 6035 at avg 49¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)13% (won 23% of 791)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)45% (won 45% of 2699)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)29% (won 60% of 1740)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)13% (won 80% of 805)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $228No $11
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $425K—No $350K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K—Yes $12K—