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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026livesportinsRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)35% (3649–6671, n=10320)56% (9–7, n=16)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.0M-$2.5K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #735was PM monthly #982PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus82% (23 of 28 open)62% (23 of 37 open)100% (1 of 1 open)57% (86 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 16 at avg 48¢, ROI +8%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)—6% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)—69% (won 55% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)—25% (won 75% of 4)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)—0%33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026livesportinsRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $3.5K—KKS Lech Poznań $270
Spread: FC Twente (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Páfos FC
—FC Twente $578—Páfos FC $22
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $155—Under $109
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $39K—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $33K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $14K—Bianca Andreescu $5.8K
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Under $290
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $240—Under $11K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Under $4.3K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Valerio Aboian
same side · consensus Federico Coria
—Federico Coria $2.2K—Federico Coria $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Over $360
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
—GNK Dinamo Zagreb $137—GNK Dinamo Zagreb $164
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
same side · consensus FC Lugano
—FK Kauno Žalgiris $208—FK Kauno Žalgiris $11