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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | smoltrader | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 42% (974–1352, n=2326) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | -$8.8M | $3.3M | $6.7K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #6 | was PM monthly #368 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (29 of 35 open) | 67% (37 of 55 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (11 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Science −21 pts, n=18 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 44% of 1625 at avg 45¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 49% (won 5% of 796) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 34% of 102) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 7% (won 66% of 116) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 38% (won 93% of 611) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | smoltrader |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $4.4K | Bears $15K | — | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Texans | Chargers $2.4K | Chargers $2 | — | — |