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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | lastminwin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 54% (14–12, n=26) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | -$8.8M | $3.3M | $283K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #95 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 53% (17 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (41 of 57 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 33% (won 20% of 5) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 20% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 27% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | lastminwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $74K | — | — | No $15K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $96 | Bears $8.1K | — | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1.3K | Under $1.8K | — | — |