Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1verifly
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)34% (144–282, n=426)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$14.9M-$379K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #33 + pinnedwas PM monthly #874
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)60% (6 of 10 open)61% (17 of 28 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Esports −2 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)32% (won 21% of 131)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)55% (won 41% of 227)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)13% (won 43% of 54)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)0% (won 0% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1verifly
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.7K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
—Janice Tjen $30KJanice Tjen $43K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $38Keisuke Saitoh $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—